Analytics

Trump’s America Is Cracking: How the World’s Most Powerful Hegemon Began to Lose Control

The promised golden age has turned into nineteen months of strategic failures, while simultaneously opening a window of opportunity for Moscow, Beijing, and Tehran

The Tabriz–Venice Axis: How a Forgotten Alliance Nearly Redrew the Map of Eurasia

Genoese archives and Venetian chronicles reveal that two centuries before the Age of Discovery, Azerbaijan was not a peripheral outpost of the Islamic world, but a strategic hub where the fate of Constantinople was being decided.

Genghis Khan at Berlin’s Gates: How Europe Is Losing the War Before the Enemy Even Arrives

The Berlin exhibition on the Mongol Empire brings Europe back to the trauma of 1241 and an uncomfortable conclusion: great powers suffer defeat not because of others' barbarism, but because of their own intellectual blindness. In the spring of 1241, the European security system collapsed in forty-eight hours.

Sixty Days of Versailles: The Deal That Died Right on Schedule

The Strait of Hormuz is closed, the naval blockade has been reinstated, and the president of the United States is threatening to bomb Oman, a country Washington spent half a century calling its most reliable intermediary in the Persian Gulf.

The War for 250,000 People

It began as a war for Kyiv and Odesa, but it is now being decided along a 300-kilometer arc around Kramatorsk. Both sides have already lost the war they originally planned to fight, and now they are bargaining for the right to call defeat a victory.

Israel’s Kingmakers Are Losing Their Crown: The Haredi Bargain Is Collapsing

For four decades, ultra-Orthodox parties have helped determine who would become Israel’s prime minister. Ahead of the October 27 election, their greatest asset—the ability to sell eighteen Knesset seats to the highest bidder—has become their greatest vulnerability.

Moscow and Beijing Are Making Iran’s Defeat Too Costly

Russian and Chinese military support for Iran is gradually changing. The U.S.-Israeli war against Iran, which began on February 28, 2026, has revealed two opposing trends.

America Has the Firepower, Iran Has Time: Who Breaks First?

By mid-August 2026, the US-Iranian conflict had entered a phase in which the sides’ initial assessments could finally be measured against actual results. The war has been ongoing since February 28.

Trump’s Foreign Policy Is at War With Itself: The Four Factions Fighting to Control America

Behind the “America First” slogan lies a struggle among four competing centers of power. Vance wants to reduce America’s commitments, Colby is prepared to sacrifice Europe for the sake of China, Rubio is trying to preserve American global hegemony, while Kushner is turning diplomacy into a marketplace for major deals.

Economy

The EU Was Counting on Cheap Gas. The War With Iran Shattered Every Assumption

The EU has almost eliminated its critical dependence on Russian pipeline gas, only to discover another vulnerability: Europe’s energy security now depends on the Strait of Hormuz, U.S. LNG plants, Asian demand, the weather, and several chokepoints in global trade.

Goodbye, U.S. Weapons: Europe Is Building a War Machine of Its Own

For decades, Europe talked about strategic autonomy much the way people talk about staying in shape: everyone agreed it was a good idea, but few were willing to change their established way of life.

Breaking Russia Could Break Europe: The Hidden Price of Victory

The West knows how to answer the question of how to contain Russia. It is far less capable of answering another: what should Russia look like after the war, and how does Europe intend to coexist with a nuclear power that cannot be erased from the map, destroyed by sanctions, or permanently expelled from the international security system?

Georgia Wanted to Become an Energy Superhighway. Then the Lights Went Out

The July 24–25 outages turned a technical failure into a dispute over sabotage, cryptocurrency mining, Russia, and the cost of Tbilisi’s transit ambitions. But the central question is far more consequential: can Georgia’s power system withstand the geopolitical role that Azerbaijan, Turkey, and Europe are already assigning to it?

Interest Rates Hit Harder Than Missiles: How Debt Is Paralyzing the G7 War Machine

The richest democracies promise rearmament, protection of allies, and a technological leap, but their budgets are already subservient to creditors. The primary struggle of the coming decade will unfold not only over territory and resources, but over a state's sovereign right to independently decide how to spend its money.

The sky burns, Kyiv pays: The multibillion-dollar cost of Ukraine’s drone war

Strikes on oil terminals, Wildberries warehouses, and Russia’s logistics infrastructure have been loud, painful, and politically dramatic. In this war, the photograph has long competed with the map, and footage of a fire is sometimes valued more highly than a shift in the front line.

The Soros Machine: How Billions in Grants Became a Global Weapon of Political Power

George Soros is often portrayed either as a demonic “puppet master” who supposedly controls governments and revolutions personally, or as an impeccable philanthropist who selflessly distributes billions of dollars for education, health care, and the protection of human rights. Both portrayals are convenient, but equally simplistic.

Iran Is on Its Knees - So Why Can’t the West Break It?

American and Israeli strikes have destroyed industrial facilities, tanked the rial, and left millions of Iranians jobless. Yet economic catastrophe has not forced Tehran to capitulate. On the contrary, it is strengthening the IRGC, radicalizing the elite, and turning the Strait of Hormuz into a weapon of global blackmail.

Digital Kafala: Russia’s New Serfdom for Migrant Workers

A phone with geolocation, binding to an employer, and restrictions on movement are intended to turn migration into a controlled assembly line. However, the experience of Russia itself and the Gulf states demonstrates that the more firmly a worker is attached to a master, the faster corruption, illegal employment, and labor shortages grow.
Analytics

Trump’s America Is Cracking: How the World’s Most Powerful Hegemon Began to Lose Control

The promised golden age has turned into nineteen months of strategic failures, while simultaneously opening a window of opportunity for Moscow, Beijing, and Tehran

Read more